Skies of Albion - A British Aviation Timeline

1- Thunder Warriors of Eindhoven
Skies of Albion

A graphically assisted timeline of what might have been had the British aerospace industry not been sabotaged by it's own government.


-Part 1- Thunder Warriors of Eindhoven

During the closing days of the Second World War the Royal Air Force, in conjunction with British industry, had been at the forefront of aeronautical development in a highly dynamic and symbiotic relationship that saw ever more capable aircraft being rapidly designed, put into service, and improved upon.
It was this system that saw the introduction of Britian's first jet aircraft, the Gloster Meteor in 1944, an incredible achievement in itself even though Nazi Germany had put the rival Me-262 jet fighter into service a few months earlier. The Meteor was initially kept away from the frontlines, and spent the first six months of it's service life defending the southern UK by intercepting German V-1 rocket bombs, a task in which they excelled, and acting as an opposing force in training exercises that taught allied fighter escort how to deal with German jet fighter attacks.
This was to change in late 1944, after the Western Allied offensives in France and Belgium had over-run the V-1 launch sites. 616 Squadron equipped with the new Meteor F.3 model was deployed to the continent as part of the Second Tactical Airforce on December 19th 1944.* The idea was that during the lull in combat operations over the winter that the Meteors would attempt to draw out and fight the Axis jet fighters that had been frequently harassing allied airfields, and were generating large amounts of concern for the potential effect they could have when attacking the the USAAF's daytime bomber raids.

616 Squadron was placed at Gilze-Rijen, a smaller RAF base in the southern Netherlands near Eindhoven, which was chosen as a better location for maintaining operational security and for it's proximity to the Luftwaffe fighter bases which were protecting the Ruhr from the constant allied bombing campaign. It had been judged that operating them from the main RAF base at Melbroek would be too risky in case of a (unlikely) German break out north toward the channel, and that Eindhoven itself was heavily crowded with the presence of several RCAF wings. The Meteors spent a week acclimatising to their new environment, and flew a couple of uneventful sorties in aid of American bomber groups as they were moving towards their targets in Germany, in the hopes of ambushing German jet fighters that might try to attack the bomber streams, though none of the elusive Me-262s made an appearance. This all changed on New Years day when the Luftwaffe's Operation Bodenplatte, a massive attack on allied airpower was launched against many front-line bases. News of a heavy raid against Eindhoven airbase lead to to 616 Squadron being scrambled to assist. A fortunate event which meant that when the Focke-wulfs of Jagdgeschwader 3 arrived to strafe the flight line, the Meteors were already in the air.

Unaware that their home base was under attack. 616 squadron arrived over Eindhoven to find a large number of Luftwaffe aircraft wrecking havoc on the grounded aircraft of the Royal Canadian Air Force that were based there. Enthusiastic to finally get to grips with the enemy, and desperate to assist their beleaguered comrades, the Meteors dove in to try and drive off the attackers, and in doing so came face to face with their dark mirror image. Me-262s of Kampfgeschwader 51 rose from their attack runs to meet them. As the skies filled with the thunder and screech of wailing turbines, what followed would become known as the first jet versus jet air battle in history.

Starting with superior positioning the Meteors scored first blood, with New Zealander Squadron Leader Warren Schrader gaining the honour of claiming the first jet on jet kill. However outnumbered nearly two to one it became quickly apparent that 616 were at a significant disadvantage against the German jets. The 262s held a significant speed advantage over the British planes as well, and before long three of 616 squadron's aircraft were downed. The well trained RAF pilots recovered quickly, and relying on extensive experience intercepting V-1s, and their aircraft's superior climb rate they were able to even the odds somewhat and claim two Messerschmitts in return.

As Canadian Typhoons and Spitfires battled with the butcher birds of JG3 and JG6, the Meteors fought a dogged battle with their own opponents, and eventually managed to force the Luftwaffe to break off their attack. This effort was costly however, and in total seven of 616 Squadrons aircraft were lost to enemy fire, or were too damaged to land, two others required extensive repairs before they were airworthy gain. For these heavy losses they could only claim five of the Me-262s in their own kill tally. Three of the British pilots were killed during the engagement.
Rendered combat ineffective due to losses, 616 Squadron was rotated back to Britain to be rebuilt. It would return a month later with replacement aircraft and was joined in the jet interceptor mission by the hurriedly converted 504 Squadron in late February. Despite pleading for the opportunity to get a rematch against their German foes the Meteor force was instead used in in armed reconnaissance missions and ground attack raids on German airbases. They encountered no further enemy jets for the rest of the war.

By any account analysis of the engagement over Eindhoven did not reflect favourably on the Meteor, and though the Bodenplatte operation was overall a strategic loss for the Luftwaffe and Germany, as it lost many irreplaceable pilots. It raised serious concerns about the performance of the RAF's jet fighters. An improved and faster F.4 model was already in development, and was given priority above other aircraft projects, but came too late to enter service in Europe before German surrender.

With the end of the war, and the mad dash to grab as much of Nazi regimes technical documentation and engineering personnel as possible, further concerns about the capability of future opponents began to be raised in the Air Ministry. Technology was clearly advancing at a breakneck pace, and being left behind the curve could have serious consequences in the event of a future conflict. Though Germany had been hampered by it's poor logistics and damaged industries, the same could not be said for the Russians, and news that the Soviets had managed to acquire vast amounts of material from the German jet program was certainly worrying.

Despite pressure from the new Atlee government to cut back on aircraft development spending, there could obviously be no question of the RAF and British aviation sitting on their laurels, newer and better types would have to be developed and put into service if Britain was to be adequately defended against aerial threats.

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A Gloster Meteor F.3 of 616 Squadron in the livery it would have sported during Operation Bodenplatte. Meteors deployed to Europe later in the year would be painted all white to aid air defence gunners in visually differentiating them from German Me-262s.


*This is the first point of divergence- in OTL this deployment occurred a month later. Too late for the Meteors to face the Luftwaffe jets during Bodenplatte.
 
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I will follow this closely ! Trying to save the British aerospace industry from its OTL misery has been an obsession of mine since, what, 2006 ? When I registered at my first aerospace forum, ever - www.whatifmodellers.com (highly recommended, a lovely place with lovely members).

I've identified 33 (yes, THIRTY THREE !) major blunders or stupid decisions from 1945 to 1985 that methodically ruined and destroyed an industry that could have been as strong and varied as France's very own.
 
I will follow this closely ! Trying to save the British aerospace industry from its OTL misery has been an obsession of mine since, what, 2006 ? When I registered at my first aerospace forum, ever - www.whatifmodellers.com (highly recommended, a lovely place with lovely members).

I've identified 33 (yes, THIRTY THREE !) major blunders or stupid decisions from 1945 to 1985 that methodically ruined and destroyed an industry that could have been as strong and varied as France's very own.
A cynic (who me) might suggest it was the long standing policy of the Ministry of Supply and its successors to destroy the British Aircraft industry and support the American one.

I'd also say that the mistakes started with the choice not to build more than a handful of Avro Yorks during the war, or other transports that could have established an airliner building industry to compete with the US post war.
 
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A cynic (who me) might suggest it was the long standing policy of the Ministry of Supply and its successors to destroy the British Aircraft industry and support the American one.

I'd also say that the mistakes started with the choice not to build more than a handful of Avro Yorks during the war, or other transports that could have established an airliner building industry to compete with the US post war.
Whilst sadly this timeline starts a bit too late to rectify that particular problem, there are many later opportunities to turn things around.
Which honestly is the thing I find most astounding about the whole sorry saga. In an almost cyclical pattern time after time world leading British industry would be hobbled by short sighted government policy, then through sheer determination, and technical skill it would bounce back to achieve cutting edge capabilities, only to be stopped short at achieving the cusp of greatness by further shortsighted government policy.
What amazes me is how many of these cycles the industry managed to endure before inevitably collapsing from the stress.
 
Guess that’s the Etonian (insert private school of your choice) chumocracy for you. And before anyone objects to bringing up current affairs, it’s hardly a new problem is it?
 
Whilst sadly this timeline starts a bit too late to rectify that particular problem, there are many later opportunities to turn things around.
Which honestly is the thing I find most astounding about the whole sorry saga. In an almost cyclical pattern time after time world leading British industry would be hobbled by short sighted government policy, then through sheer determination, and technical skill it would bounce back to achieve cutting edge capabilities, only to be stopped short at achieving the cusp of greatness by further shortsighted government policy.
What amazes me is how many of these cycles the industry managed to endure before inevitably collapsing from the stress.
The wasted money time after time is infuriating. How often did we see this pattern. Issue a very challenging specification right at the edge of what's possible, spend years and a fortune developing an aircraft to meet it and just as the aircraft is nearing being ready for production it's cancelled only for the whole sorry saga to repeat.
 
The wasted money time after time is infuriating. How often did we see this pattern. Issue a very challenging specification right at the edge of what's possible, spend years and a fortune developing an aircraft to meet it and just as the aircraft is nearing being ready for production it's cancelled only for the whole sorry saga to repeat.

Can't help but wonder with the current situation, will Britain continue with the Tempest to replace the Typhon? will they find a business partner/country - apart from Italy? Sweden, Turkey, Canada, or Japan?
 
Can't help but wonder with the current situation, will Britain continue with the Tempest to replace the Typhon? will they find a business partner/country - apart from Italy? Sweden, Turkey, Canada, or Japan?
The paradigm is a bit different now, since the end of the 60s British industry switched to heavily relying on multinational projects.
Tempest is essentially project bait, it's BAE and the MoD making a pretty folder with pictures on the front to try and convince it's classmates in the US and Europe that it has totally done lots of work already and they should let them into the cool kids study group. And once inside try to steer the project in a direction they want.

It's the same thing they did with Replica and EAP, though tbf both those times they actually had a bit more of substance to share. This time I think everyone realises it's a bit thin, and they are only getting bites from similarly desperate partners.
Whether BAE can assemble a plucky crew of misfits to try and compete with the rich kids (USA) and the nerds (France- Germany) remains to be seen.
 
Whether BAE can assemble a plucky crew of misfits to try and compete with the rich kids (USA) and the nerds (France- Germany) remains to be seen.
BAE could do it if the Government would provide sufficient funds. Whether such funds would survive the inevitable change of Governments and spending reviews is another matter.
 
2- Swallows and Aces
-Part 2 – Swallows and Aces

The end of the war in Europe gave the war weary Allies great relief, and despite the ongoing hostilities with Japan in Asia many began to plan for a return to “normal” now that second great war was drawing to a close. Of course to those that truly gave the situation thought, it was obvious that the world that had existed prior to 1939 was now lost forever, and that the coming years of the mid 20th century would be a time of uncertainty and new, untested, paradigms.
So whilst there was a strong push within the British Establishment to reduce military spending,
especially in the expensive procurement of new vehicles and equipment, it had become clear that to pause development would leave Britain open to being over taken and left behind by emerging rivals. So it was that after some argument that the new Labour administration were convinced of the vital need for continued advanced aircraft development even if no new conflict was expected within the decade, Britain could not be put in a position of disadvantage if the worst was to occur.

There was a price to pay however and the Treasury demanded its due for the funding of post war recovery programs. As a result large swathes of short term projects on upgrades of war time equipment were cancelled in favour of work on more advanced concepts. This bargain saw almost all further developments for piston engined combat aircraft abandoned in favour of continuing use of war surplus until new jet aircraft could replace them. Advanced Spitfires, the Bristol Brigand, de Havilland Hornet, Supermarine Seagull, Short Sturgeon and Blackburn Firecrest, all fell victim. Of fighter programs only the Sea Fury escaped the axe as a necessary evil considering that much of the FAA's lend lease fighter inventory would now have to be returned to the US. As compensation the order for Fairey Fireflies was reduced with much of it's role now expected to filled by the Sea Fury and turboprop powered Westland Wyvern.*

Similarly the new Avro Lincoln, set to replace Bomber Command's legendary Lancaster force was also cut short, with the newer Lancaster marks expected to remain in service until replacement by a newly created heavy jet bomber specification.
It was only fierce resistance by the Brabazon committee that prevented a similar culling of piston engined support and transport aircraft, arguing that this projects were fundamental to establishing a competitive British civil aviation industry. However for their efforts even they were forced to accept a reduction in the scope of their work, the ambitious Type I transatlantic airliner proposal was scrapped in favour of a stretched version of the Type III Medium Route Empire liner, to be designated the Type IIIa.

These cuts came as a cold shock to a sprawling industry that had become reliant on the constant stream of wartime orders. It was described by one contemporary industry leader as “like having run full speed over the edge of a cliff, and suddenly realizing that there was nothing solid under foot.” Without the continuation of these projects to help them to tail off this dependency, the multitude of British aviation manufacturers found themselves suddenly in difficult financial straits, and were left scrambling to secure the new advanced jet contracts.
Perhaps the most prized of these was the new Air Ministry requirement for a single engined jet fighter that was intended to become the mainstay combat aircraft of the RAF. The E.1/44 Specification had been issued in late 1944 by the Air Ministry to explore cheaper single engined alternatives to the Meteor and had been intended for Gloster, then the leading British manufacturer of jet aircraft who by late 1945 had begun working on a prototype designated the GA.2 'Ace', though progress was slow due to their focus on development and production of the existing Meteor.

The rival de Havilland company had already beat Gloster to the punch with their lightweight single engined Vampire fighter, that though started as a private venture in the early 40s, they had managed to push through the Air Ministry to be accepted by the RAF. Management at de Havilland hoped that this would give them a leg up in the competition for jet contracts, and already had concepts for advanced derivatives of the Vampire on the board.
The first Vampire F.1s entered RAF service during 1946 in the interceptor role, being deployed to squadrons assigned to the occupation zone in Germany to replace wartime piston engined aircraft. However several figures in the RAF and the war ministry felt that the Vampire though effective in the short term was too small and light to keep up with the designs that intelligence reported were being proposed in the United States, the Vampire was compared unfavourably to the North American FJ-1 that RAF exchange officers had witnessed being tested.

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A de Hallivand Vampire F.1 as it appeared in squadron service in Germany during late 1945 in early 1946

To counter this de Havilland initiated a series of advanced studies that relied heavily on aerodynamic data gathered from captured research faculties in Germany during the end of the war. The first product of this initiative was the DH.108 'Swallow', a futuristic looking aircraft that bore a striking resemblance to the Luftwaffe's rocket powered Komet interceptor., though was in fact based heavily on the Vampire. With a heavily swept wing profile, and lack of a conventional tail it represented de Havilland pushing the envelope of what was possible in a bid to put themselves as far ahead of the conception as possible. Not just for the fighter contract but also with an eye to the whole raft of advanced jet contracts up for grabs. (including a concept for a tailless jet powered airliner.)
The Swallow was developed rapidly and the first aircraft flew in early 1946, and demonstrated that the design has effective low speed controllability, allowing for a seocnd high speed airframe protype to be assembled in only four months. Sadly as often happened to the pioneers of aviation science, the envelope could push back, and so tragedy struck in September 1946 when the high speed prototype broke up in mid-air when nearing transsonic speeds, killing the test pilot Geoffery de Havilland Jr, son of the company's owner. **

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The DH.108 Swallow, an aircraft far ahead of it's time, with murderous intentions for it's own pilots.

Viewing this failure as a result of perhaps trying to push things too far, de Havilland ordered the Swallow testing to continue at a slower place, whilst a redesigned version of it's swept wings were tested on a more conventional vampire airframe. This aircraft designated as DH.107 proved much safer, and demonstrated much improved high speed performance compared to the production Vampires. Lessons from its construction were incorporated into designs for future Vampire developments, and had history taken a different course may have gained de Havilland the vaunted fighter contract.

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The much more conservative DH.107 that would lay the groundwork for future success.

However events within the Air Ministry and the RAF prevented such an outcome. Increasingly worried at the slow progress that Gloster was making on the Ace, and the catastrophic failure of the Swallow, they decided to create a backup that would give them some insurance should the two main contenders fail to produce a useful aircraft. As part of specification E.1/44 they has also asked for a much cheaper and less advanced interim single engine jet design that could be produced largely from existing components.

Bereft of orders since the contracts for their advanced spitfire derivatives, the Spiteful and Seafang were cancelled. The management at Supermarine were desperate to get any work they could, even a make work backup plane, and had enthusiastically jumped on the project, adapting the laminar flow wing from the Spiteful to a fairly conventionally layout single engine aircraft to be powered by the Rolls-Royce Nene turbojet engine. With the competition now in trouble Supermarine now stepped to the fore and completed their Type 392 prototype in late 1946,
However almost instantly handling complications with the laminar flow wing led to the aircraft having inadequate performance compared to the existing Vampire and Meteor variants. (extensive criticism was also made of it's tail dragger landing gear, which was now viewed as somewhat archaic.)
Hawker Aircraft also submitted a design proposal based on a jet powered version of the Sea Fury, but as of late 1946 had been unable to produce a prototype of evaluation.
The Air Ministry was greatly disheartened by this turn of events, and it looked as if the advanced jet fighter program upon which so much had been staked was about to come to nothing and was ready to cancel the whole endeavour in favour of relying on incremental updates to the Vampire until industry could sort itself and produce something viable.

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The Type 392 was perhaps too conservative but held promise if it was given the proper development

News of further developments in America, on the new XP-86 prototype, and the recent sighting of an advanced swept wing Soviet aircraft powered by license built British Nene engines, which had been sold to the USSR tin the hope of improving Anglo-Russian relations***, spurred on the drive to get something for all the money that had been invested.
Recognizing that Supermarine had an airframe that could take the new engine, and de Hallivand had a working swept wing design, the Air Ministry pressured both companies into a joint project with the promise of production contracts for both if they could come up with a sufficiently acceptable aircraft.
Tentatively both Vickers, which owned Supermarine and de Havilland agreed, both now desperate to secure contracts that would sustain them through the rest of the decade. Together they produced a prototype heavily based upon the Type 328 that would be designated alternately labelled the Type 330 and the DH.109 be the respective organisations. Issues with adapting the swept wing developed for the Vampire derived DH.107 meant that the bifurcated intake design favoured by the RAF and Air ministry had to be abandoned in favour of a single nose intake that was proving popular with most overseas aircraft designs. Similarly the landing gear design was revised to incorporate a nosewheel, which would prevent the aircraft from digging trenches in the run way during take off. Nicknamed the Sparrow, the name being reused from an old Supermarine light aircraft design the prototype would fly in 1947.

By this time the Gloster Aircraft Company had roused itself to notice what was going on and had pushed ahead the GA.2 Ace to also produce a flying prototype. Trials were held in late 1947 against the Sparrow, and proved to be a stark contrast. Whilst the swept wing Sparrow impressed RAF officers with it's speed and snappy handling, and who also appreciated the familiarity of it's Spitfire derived cockpit layout and the excellent visibility of it's forward placed cockpit, the larger Ace with it's straight wings appeared to wallow sluggishly around the sky and was given the unfortunate appellation of “Gloster Gormless” by it's test pilot.

The decision was not hard to make. The Supermarine Sparrow would become the new RAF frontline fighter. As relations with the Soviet Union worsened in the late 40s with the Berlin Blockade, and the Albanian Confrontation following the Yugoslav-Soviet split in 1948, production was earmarked as a priority. The first Sparrow F.1 aircraft would enter service with the RAF in July-1949.

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A Supermarine Sparrow F.1 as issued to No. 93 Squadron RAF upon it's reactivation in late 1949.


*This is the major divergence of the timeline, occurring as a consequence of increased concerns over the performance of British aircraft compared to foreign rivals.

**This occurred in OTL, but the incident did not deter de Hallivand from pursuing the Swallow project, which went on to crash two more times, and kill another test pilot. Eric Winkle Brown, who narrowly escaped it's deathly clutches, described it as “a killer”.

*** Yes they really did this...
 
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I was hoping that with the far more drastic post-war cuts in this timeline, Britain wouldn't be quite so desperate for income and the controversial sale of engines to the Soviets would be butterflied away.
Ah well, can't have it all.
Still, neat first steps into the post-war environment, I agree with the principle of heavy cuts now that the war is over, hopefully the disastrous fallacy of trying to maintain Britain as the 'third pillar' in an increasingly bipolar world can be avoided and all that Marshal Plan money won't be squandered trying to prop up the Empire.

I like the Sparrow, it'll make a neat 'spot the differences' game when lined up next to a Sabre and Mig-15.
 
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